From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Mon Jul  1 21:16:42 1996
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Date: Sun, 30 Jun 1996 22:00:00 +0000
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Subject: Introducing Property-Link
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Hello and welcome to Property-Link(tm).  If you are reading this e-mail
you are a either a real estate broker, agent, or other real estate
professional.  What follows is a nothing less than the most
revolutionary marketing tool for successful real estate professionals
to date.

What is Property-Link, and what do we do?  Quite simply we offer to our
clients the ability to reach a world wide audience of real estate
professionals for less than the cost of the paper that traditional
marketing plans are written on.  How large an audience?  Start with a
targeted, direct marketing campaign to 300,000 brokers / agents, and
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Starting tomorrow you will begin to receive listing updates from
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http://www.property-link.com

Thank you, and once again: Welcome to Property-Link!

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Thank you.

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul  4 05:22:12 1996
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From: dwarming@proplink1.property-link.com (Drew Warmington)
Subject: Apology
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To whom it may concern:

We at Property-Link(tm) have made an error by not catching approximately 25
Listserv reflectors in a mailing that was sent out to real estate brokers
across the United States on Sunday and Monday (June 30 / July 1).  Once
these sites were hit, a large number of people that were never meant to
receive anything from Property-Link(tm) in the first place were
inconvenienced with our listing.

We have worked very hard for the last eight months to ensure that the only
persons that would receive our listing service are licensed real estate
brokers, however errors were made.  For this we offer our deepest
apologies.  It was never our intent, nor is it our policy to include anyone
besides real estate brokers in any of our correspondence.  Therefore please
rest assured that your Listserv has been permanently removed from our
database.  If there are any questions that you may have, please do not
hesitate to e-mail us at postmaster@property-link.com.

Cordially yours:

Property-Link(tm)


Drew Warmington
VP Sales / Marketing

___________________________________________________________________
Property-Link(tm)                               Voice:(714)966-1202
Drew Warmington                                 Fax:  (714)545-6162
VP Sales / Marketing

Property-Link(tm) - Changing the way Real Estate Brokers Communicate
___________________________________________________________________



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Tue Jul 23 23:52:34 1996
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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 13:20:35 EDT
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From: whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk (Tony Whyman)
To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU (Big Internet Maillist)
Subject: The Inventor of the Internet?
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Last week, there was a small item on our local television station about an 
awards ceremony at Southampton University. Tim Berners-Lee (a local lad) was 
being presented with an honoury doctorate, and the news report described him 
as the "Inventor of the Internet". 

My first thoughts were - oh no another cub reporter that doesn't understand 
the technology he's reporting on. Probably the type that a few years ago 
would have spelt software like menswear. But hang a minute, that reporter was 
really just parroting a common view. The Web is now so pervasive that for 
most people it is in the Internet.

And that is only the first achievement of the Web. The demand for bandwidth 
from multimedia WEB applications is such that the venerable IP Internet (of 
whatever vintage) must surely have a limited lifetime. I suspect that in not 
that many years from now, when your average nerd surfs the Web using an ATM 
or similar cell switched network, they will still call it the Internet, even 
though IP is no more than a footnote in a technical reference book. Then Mr 
Berners-Lee will rightly be known as the inventor of the Internet.

An interesting thought because perhaps the Web will not only hijack the term 
"Internet", but will also make the debate between the relative merits of IP, 
IPv6 and CLNP seem as irrelevant as the debate between the CONS and the CLNS 
a decade ago.

--
Tony Whyman             McCallum Whyman Associates Ltd  Tel +44 1962 735580
                                                        FAX +44 1962 735581
                        Internet: whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk
                        Compuserve: 100041,315



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 01:09:18 1996
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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 11:00:05 -0400 (EDT)
From: "Dorian R. Kim" <dorian@cic.net>
Sender: dorian@cic.net
To: Tony Whyman <whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk>
Cc: Big Internet Maillist <big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU>
Subject: Re: The Inventor of the Internet?
In-Reply-To: <9607231320.aa16168@mwassocs.demon.co.uk>
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On Tue, 23 Jul 1996, Tony Whyman wrote:

> And that is only the first achievement of the Web. The demand for bandwidth 
> from multimedia WEB applications is such that the venerable IP Internet (of 
> whatever vintage) must surely have a limited lifetime. I suspect that in not 

Is there some intrinsic limit to how fast IP can go? If so this is news to me.

> that many years from now, when your average nerd surfs the Web using an ATM 
> or similar cell switched network, they will still call it the Internet, even 

This is not a foregone conclusion, I would think. It's too early to be
singing dirges for IP.

-dorian



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 02:09:17 1996
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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 08:52:35 -0700 (PDT)
From: Michael Dillon <michael@memra.com>
To: Big Internet Maillist <big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU>
Subject: Re: The Inventor of the Internet?
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On Tue, 23 Jul 1996, Dorian R. Kim wrote:

> This is not a foregone conclusion, I would think. It's too early to be
> singing dirges for IP.

Encyclopedia Britannica - 2053 edition

IP - Internet Protocol - This is the basic protocol underlying all
communications networks. The protocol was specifically designed for the
comm nets because the 1500 byte packets are a perfect match for the 1500
byte fibre bundles used in the nets. Each byte of a packet travels in
parallel through the comm bundles connected to cubeswitch centres.


I think IP networking will turn out to be the biggest advance of the human
race since double-entry bookkeeping.

Michael Dillon                   -               ISP & Internet Consulting
Memra Software Inc.              -                  Fax: +1-604-546-3049
http://www.memra.com             -               E-mail: michael@memra.com


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 02:29:17 1996
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From: "Philip J. Nesser" <pjnesser@martigny.ai.mit.edu>
Subject: Re: The Inventor of the Internet?
To: whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk
Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 12:11:33 -0400 (EDT)
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
In-Reply-To: <9607231320.aa16168@mwassocs.demon.co.uk> from "Tony Whyman" at Jul 23, 96 01:20:35 pm
Organization: Nesser & Nesser Consulting
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Tony Whyman supposedly said:
> 
> 
> And that is only the first achievement of the Web. The demand for bandwidth 
> from multimedia WEB applications is such that the venerable IP Internet (of 
> whatever vintage) must surely have a limited lifetime. I suspect that in not 
> that many years from now, when your average nerd surfs the Web using an ATM 
> or similar cell switched network, they will still call it the Internet, even 
> though IP is no more than a footnote in a technical reference book. Then Mr 
> Berners-Lee will rightly be known as the inventor of the Internet.

Just out of curiosity what network level protocol do you plan on running
over ATM?  The wonder and magic of IP is that it can operate over so many
link layers.  Even when we have our own OC48 ATM switch in every home we
still need a protocol to run over  it or all we get is a lot of very fast
bits that don't do anything.  (maybe we can do nuclear particle physics
experiments when we get OC10000 switches :-)

--->  Phil




From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 04:09:20 1996
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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 96 10:56:22 PDT
From: braden@isi.edu
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To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU, michael@memra.com
Subject: Re: The Inventor of the Internet?
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  *> 
  *> 
  *> I think IP networking will turn out to be the biggest advance of the human
  *> race since double-entry bookkeeping.
  *> 

And now we are left to figure out whether that is a good thing, right?

Bob Braden

  *> Michael Dillon                   -               ISP & Internet Consulting
  *> Memra Software Inc.              -                  Fax: +1-604-546-3049
  *> http://www.memra.com             -               E-mail: michael@memra.com
  *> 
  *> 

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 04:29:14 1996
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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 14:17:38 -0400
To: braden@ISI.EDU
From: Paul Ferguson <pferguso@cisco.com>
Subject: Re: The Inventor of the Internet?
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU, michael@memra.com
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At 10:56 AM 7/23/96 PDT, braden@ISI.EDU wrote:

>
>  *> 
>  *> 
>  *> I think IP networking will turn out to be the biggest advance of the human
>  *> race since double-entry bookkeeping.
>  *> 
>
>And now we are left to figure out whether that is a good thing, right?
>

As long as there are no comparisons to the AMC Pacer, I think we're safe.

:-)

- paul


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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 15:22:49 -0400
To: Paul Ferguson <pferguso@cisco.com>, braden@ISI.EDU
From: Robert Moskowitz <rgm3@chrysler.com>
Subject: Re: The Inventor of the Internet?
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU, michael@memra.com
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At 02:17 PM 7/23/96 -0400, Paul Ferguson wrote:
>At 10:56 AM 7/23/96 PDT, braden@ISI.EDU wrote:
>
>>
>>  *> 
>>  *> 
>>  *> I think IP networking will turn out to be the biggest advance of the
human
>>  *> race since double-entry bookkeeping.
>>  *> 
>>
>>And now we are left to figure out whether that is a good thing, right?
>>
>
>As long as there are no comparisons to the AMC Pacer, I think we're safe.

Hey!  That was the greatest greenhouse on wheels ever built!  Maybe sometime
I'll tell you all about its design (yeah, I started at AMC afterwards, but
it was still 'news').


 
Robert Moskowitz
Chrysler Corporation
(810) 758-8212


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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 22:23:29 EDT
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Reply-To: whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk
From: whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk (Tony Whyman)
To: pjnesser@martigny.ai.mit.edu
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU (Big Internet Maillist)
Subject: re: inventor of the Internet?
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Philip J. Nesser wrote:

>Just out of curiosity what network level protocol do you plan on running
>over ATM?  The wonder and magic of IP is that it can operate over so many
>link layers.  Even when we have our own OC48 ATM switch in every home we
>still need a protocol to run over  it or all we get is a lot of very fast
>bits that don't do anything.  (maybe we can do nuclear particle physics
>experiments when we get OC10000 switches :-)

There is certainly no reason why you cannot run IP over an ATM network and, 
in the near future that is certainly what I expect to see happen. However, my 
observation is that the Web will demand ATM to the desktop and, when that 
happens why do you want the overhead of IP if the underlying network is end 
to end? IP provides you with primarily addressing and secondarily, 
fragmentation control. It is necessary if you have hetereogeneous networks 
interconnected by routers, but is just straight overhead if your network is 
homogeneous.

My vision of the future is that from my desktop I will need a few ATM PVCs to 
connect me to a Mail Server, a Web Page Cache, etc., and I will set up SVCs 
for telephony, video conferences and any private large volume data transfers. 
The only argument for IP is about short lived connections where the cost of 
setting up an SVC may be questionable and having a network of routers 
switching packets might still be justified. But I think that that is missing 
the point of the paradigm shift that the Web has introduced away from a 
packet switching Internet to a Messaging Internet.

It is messages that will flow through the future Internet. Some will be 
transient, like this EMail message - starting from one point and then hopping 
around the network until it reaches its destination. Others will be more 
persistent, like Web Pages and News, starting from one point and then being 
copied out many times to be cached and then deleted by Web Caches, depending 
on their popularity. Indeed, it is the Named Message rather than the 
addressed packet that will be the general currency of the Internet, and the 
Messaging Centre (Web Server, Mail Hub, call it what you will) that will 
replace the Router.

--
Tony Whyman             McCallum Whyman Associates Ltd  Tel +44 1962 735580
                                                        FAX +44 1962 735581
                        Internet: whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk
                        Compuserve: 100041,315



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 08:49:29 1996
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From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
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Subject: Re: inventor of the Internet?
To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 18:39:25 -0400 (EDT)
Cc: bass@linux.silkroad.com
In-Reply-To: <9607232223.aa16188@mwassocs.demon.co.uk> from "Tony Whyman" at Jul 23, 96 10:23:29 pm
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Interesting.

Today ATM, yesterday superframe, yesteryear Greek runners delivering
messages....

The "Internet" just happens to be in the 'radar screen' of mass media
today and to use any term like 'founder of the Internet' just demonstrates
how we humans love to create icons and hyperbola and overestimate our
own importance in a single snapshot of time.

IMO, the inventor of the Internet was Samuel Morse, who demonstrated
that information could be transmitted via electrical energy over copper
wires and secured $30,000.00 in US Congressional Funding to build
the first Washington-Baltimore telegraph project.   Of course, a good
argument could be made that any number of inventors developed
the "Internet". ( What would Glick or Mandlebrot argue, BTW ?)

Alas!  I will spare the audience a paragraph of metaphors and syllogisms
that are polemic to the ATM, WWW, "in the media's radar screen" today
sensationalism and avoid a rancid tome of discussion over 'which of
the thousands of engineering innovations over modern history 
contributed to the current state of Internetworking.

Maybe some Zen-like expression:

"A grain of salt is not the father of the ocean, nor is the wind, nor
 the rain..."

(and I hoped the world would 'be a better place in my recent silence' :-)
.... wrong again, as usual.

Hopefully, we have better things to discuss on Big-Internet that
chicken-or-the-egg circular logic or a barrage of port 25 'male bonding' 
.... (then again, maybe not ;-)  

Let the cyber-games begin !  How 'bout ATM/IP? Will humans again believe
that today is the end of the line in technical knowhow ?  Just like
the British believed that the electric telegraph would never replace
a system of towers and signal flags ( the first 'optical network' !!)

Continued Rambling .......  The real inventor of the Internet is
a Frenchman who demonstrated encoding techniques using a series
of optical towers and flags in the year 1791 using cross-arms
and pulleys.  Remembering that in the year 1800 "Optical
Telegraph Networks" operated at about 20 chars/second. Then in

 1845 (Oct) Morse Magnetic Telegraph Company profits were $413.00
 and  Postmaster General, Cave Johnson declares in annual report

     " ... telegraph business will never be profitable ..." 

----------------

Cave Johnson had an opinion, just like all the other we read
on the network today :-)

Regards,

Tim

-- 
We're just two lost souls 
	swimming in a fish bowl, 
		year after year,

Running over the same old ground. 
	What have we found? 
		The same old fears.

	Wish you were here.
		-Roger Waters


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 09:49:37 1996
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Subject: Re: inventor of the Internet? 
In-Reply-To: Your message of Tue, 23 Jul 1996 18:39:25 -0400.
             <199607232239.SAA23591@linux.silkroad.com> 
Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 19:34:15 -0400
From: Grenville Armitage <gja@bellcore.com>
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Tim writes, in part:

>>How 'bout ATM/IP?

Been there, done that, ran IP over it ;-)

gja

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 10:30:01 1996
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Date: Tue, 23 Jul 1996 17:21:02 -0700
To: whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk
From: Dave Crocker <dcrocker@brandenburg.com>
Subject: re: inventor of the Internet?
Cc: pjnesser@martigny.ai.mit.edu,
        big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU (Big Internet Maillist)
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At 7:23 PM -0700 7/23/96, Tony Whyman wrote:
>There is certainly no reason why you cannot run IP over an ATM network and,
>in the near future that is certainly what I expect to see happen. However, my
>observation is that the Web will demand ATM to the desktop and, when that
>happens why do you want the overhead of IP if the underlying network is end
>to end? IP provides you with primarily addressing and secondarily,

	Everything old is new again:  "The overhead of IP"


Tony,

	In case no one has noticed, most transaction-related exchanges are
just too darned short to be able to tolerate the connection setup time of
ATM.

	In case no one has noticed, IP is proving astongishingly good at
providing real-time application use, in spite of having literally NO
facilities designed for it.  One can only wonder what will happen when flow
support is explicit.

	In case no one has noticed, ATM is proving to be nothing more than
a method of flexibly partioning fixed bandwidth.  (flexibly?  fixed?  What
I mean is that re-allocated is pretty easy, but that it IS an allocation
model rather than being fully dynamic to the level of cell-time, as
originally promised.)

	The alarm clock has gone off.  The roses are wilting.

d/

--------------------
Dave Crocker                                            +1 408 246 8253
Brandenburg Consulting                             fax: +1 408 249 6205
675 Spruce Dr.                                 dcrocker@brandenburg.com
Sunnyvale CA 94086 USA                       http://www.brandenburg.com

Internet Mail Consortium               http://www.imc.org, info@imc.org



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Wed Jul 24 19:30:09 1996
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From: Jim Jackson <jj@scs.leeds.ac.uk>
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To: Tony Whyman <whyman@mwassocs.demon.co.uk>
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        Big Internet Maillist <big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU>
Subject: re: inventor of the Internet?
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Why do I sigh when I here this ubiquitous ATM stuff being spouted?
4 years ago when we started out on ATM here, all sorts of people 
assured us that they too saw the future as this and that they 
envisaged Workstations with ATM as standard within 5 years. Watch out for 
the flood of workstations with 100BaseT as standard - no sign of ATM as 
standard anywhere :-)

[As an aside look at the relative endstation costs, both of the hardware 
and the software support !!!!!!]

People were writing off 100M ethernet 4 years ago as a niche technology.
10BaseX ethernet switching was expensive - it is now approaching 
commodity status with the attendant huge drops in costs.
1000BaseT is being persued - and other technologies are being worked on. 

One Technology - No chance, stop dreaming. We will ALWAYS have a mixed 
network - hence ALWAYS need the likes of IP etc.

Jim Jackson
Project Leader
Leeds ATM LAN Pilot

 On Tue, 23 Jul 1996, Tony Whyman wrote:

> 
> My vision of the future is that from my desktop I will need a few ATM PVCs to 
> connect me to a Mail Server, a Web Page Cache, etc., and I will set up SVCs 
> for telephony, video conferences and any private large volume data transfers. 
> The only argument for IP is about short lived connections where the cost of 
> setting up an SVC may be questionable and having a network of routers 
> switching packets might still be justified. But I think that that is missing 
> the point of the paradigm shift that the Web has introduced away from a 
> packet switching Internet to a Messaging Internet.

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 02:10:08 1996
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From: Zheng Wang <Z.Wang@cs.ucl.ac.uk>
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Subject: The Founder of the Internet
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In the article "Boost for Internet Telephony" in the July 15 issue of 
CommunicationsWeek International, Vinton Cerf was referred as the
"co-founder of the Internet". 

Cheers
Zheng


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 02:29:35 1996
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Date: Wed, 24 Jul 1996 09:23:05 -0700
To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
From: Bob Hinden <hinden@Ipsilon.COM>
Subject: re: inventor of the Internet?
Precedence: bulk

Sorry to disrupt this very serious discussion, but from reading the popular
press, I would have thought that

	Bill Gates

was the inventor of the Internet!  At least the ISOC magazine will not give
him the title of the "sexiest man....."  :-)

Bob



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 03:09:33 1996
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Date: Wed, 24 Jul 1996 12:57:50 -0400
To: Zheng Wang <Z.Wang@cs.ucl.ac.uk>, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
From: Robert Moskowitz <rgm3@chrysler.com>
Subject: Re: The Founder of the Internet
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At 05:04 PM 7/24/96 +0100, Zheng Wang wrote:
>In the article "Boost for Internet Telephony" in the July 15 issue of 
>CommunicationsWeek International, Vinton Cerf was referred as the
>"co-founder of the Internet". 
>
After all, Vint is just the "father of the Internet".  Who is the mother?  ;)

Boy are we busy digging holes this summer!

Robert Moskowitz
Chrysler Corporation
(810) 758-8212


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Date: Wed, 24 Jul 1996 12:57:51 -0400
To: Bob Hinden <hinden@Ipsilon.COM>, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
From: Robert Moskowitz <rgm3@chrysler.com>
Subject: re: inventor of the Internet?
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At 09:23 AM 7/24/96 -0700, Bob Hinden wrote:
>Sorry to disrupt this very serious discussion, but from reading the popular
>press, I would have thought that
>
>	Bill Gates
>
>was the inventor of the Internet!  At least the ISOC magazine will not give
>him the title of the "sexiest man....."  :-)
>
Nah, Bill is the inventor of the Intranet.  To get the proper perspective on
the distinction, re-read Stef's old Paradigm column from Connexions back in '87.

OH, and Bill doesn't have to be sexy.  He is too rich for that.

Robert Moskowitz
Chrysler Corporation
(810) 758-8212


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From: "Kent W. England" <kwe@6SigmaNets.com>
Subject: Re: The Founder of the Internet
Precedence: bulk

At 05:04 PM 7/24/96 +0100, Zheng Wang wrote:
>In the article "Boost for Internet Telephony" in the July 15 issue of 
>CommunicationsWeek International, Vinton Cerf was referred as the
>"co-founder of the Internet". 
>
>Cheers
>Zheng
>
>
>

Vint Cerf and Bob Kahn deserve credit for the key idea behind the Internet,
which is that a virtual internet (or catenet as it was first called) can
stitch together many disparate network technologies and the resulting whole
will be greater than the sum of its parts. (ATM bigots need to remember this
last point.) The success of the Internet (as opposed to the Web) is almost
entirely due to this concatenation principle, something entirely missing
from any network technology up to that time.

Tim Berners-Lee deserves credit for taking the abstract concept of hypertext
and turning it into a practical reality. (Ted Nelson was never happy with
the compromises that Tim Berners-Lee happily accepted.) The Web made the
Internet "point and click" which was already a successful model for personal
computing. The success of the Web is almost entirely due to this very simple
and practical model. I think Marc Andreeson deserves a lot of credit for the
GUI web browser and the concept of giving away well done code.

And I don't forget Bob Metcalfe's contribution of Ethernet. Treating a wire
like wireless technology was counter-intuitive, brilliant and successful.
Truly "plug and play".

There is plenty of credit to go around appropriately. Maybe we need an
Internet Hall of Fame to get this all straight?

--Kent


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 08:49:50 1996
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To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: The Founder of the Internet 
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Wed, 24 Jul 1996 10:29:48 MST."
             <2.2.32.19960724172948.0074e360@mail.cts.com> 
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 08:45:12 +1000
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From: George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au>
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  There is plenty of credit to go around appropriately. Maybe we need an
  Internet Hall of Fame to get this all straight?


If we're going to have a hall of fame, get Bob Dylan to play at the
opening and give Robert Zimmerman a special award for inventing the 
7 layer model. Then find the people who converted a teaching/comparison
tool into religious mania and line them up against the wall...

[this is a joke. If you don't know why, then you don't get invited.]

-George

--
George Michaelson         |  connect.com.au pty/ltd
Email: ggm@connect.com.au |  c/o AAPT,
Phone: +61 7 3834 9976    |  level 8, the Riverside Centre,
  Fax: +61 7 3834 9908    |  123 Eagle St, Brisbane QLD 4000



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 10:10:00 1996
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To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 09:51:09 +1000
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From: George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au>
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Well here we are, Australia is taking a massive pounding and collecting
enough bronze to start a cannon foundry and I don't see any massive change
in my RTT/drop. Since Poland and Turkey now outrank OZ in the medal stakes,
maybe all the traffic is coming from Europe, but I'd have expected melt-down
to be visible all over (not)

So what happened to the "Olympics gonna kill the net" claim? do we now
see some kind of retraction?

Maybe its all part of the grand conspiracy: lull us into a false sense
of security and then BAM! the weathermen are going to click on the URL
all at once, while the Chinese simultaneously leap into the water and
cause a tidal wave to swamp FIX-WEST...

This prediction never made much sense to me anyway. Maybe the man was
mis-quoted.

-George
--
George Michaelson         |  connect.com.au pty/ltd
Email: ggm@connect.com.au |  c/o AAPT,
Phone: +61 7 3834 9976    |  level 8, the Riverside Centre,
  Fax: +61 7 3834 9908    |  123 Eagle St, Brisbane QLD 4000



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 11:50:21 1996
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From: Michael Dillon <michael@memra.com>
To: George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au>
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
In-Reply-To: <15643.838252269@connect.com.au>
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On Thu, 25 Jul 1996, George Michaelson wrote:

> This prediction never made much sense to me anyway. Maybe the man was
> mis-quoted.

decide for yourself. Go to http://www.infoworld.com/testing/96/data.htm
select any one of the past 12 issues or so, click on the OPINION button
and the the FROM THE ETHER column to read what he actually said. He didn't
cover the imminent collapse of the net in every column but there are quite
a few of them there.

Michael Dillon                   -               ISP & Internet Consulting
Memra Software Inc.              -                  Fax: +1-604-546-3049
http://www.memra.com             -               E-mail: michael@memra.com


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 11:53:31 1996
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From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Message-Id: <199607250142.VAA25315@linux.silkroad.com>
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
To: ggm@connect.com.au (George Michaelson)
Date: Wed, 24 Jul 1996 21:42:40 -0400 (EDT)
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
In-Reply-To: <15643.838252269@connect.com.au> from "George Michaelson" at Jul 25, 96 09:51:09 am
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George,

Nice observation. ....

> This prediction never made much sense to me anyway. Maybe the man was
> mis-quoted.

Has anyone ever noticed how the Internet is no different than any other
human endeavor.  Remember those who justified irrational actions in
the IETF, NANOG, or other organizations predicting "the sky is falling"
the "network will crash and burn if we don't do this or that"?

We have heard so much BS over the past fews years with regard to the
Internet; that many of the BSers would have intelligent people believe
that fundemental sound engineering practices are taboo in the 
Internet World Order, just like democracy has fallen to oligarchy
in the name of "doing the right thing".

Who cares what Metcalfe says?  Who, of intelligence and wisdom,
really cares who was in the right place at the right time with
regard to hypertext, especially considering the research was
funded by taxpayers, just like TCP/IP.

Hence, maybe it is hard to swallow, but the real heros and parents
of the modern TCP/IP network are the millions of US taxpayers that
contribute up to 35% of their annual pay to Uncle Sam.  Regardless
of how sext Mr. Cerf looks on the ISOC magazine <:+, or how much the media
promotes heros in the name of profit; their is an underlying reality
in the world..... 

Sorry for the US centric view, but based on my understanding of history,
without hard working average citizens from the farmlands of Kansas,
to the automobile factories of Michigan, to the service worker in
NY City, and all across this innovative land; the blood, sweat, and
tears of the average worker has driven, funded, and built the
Internet.

To choose a few, and suggest a "Internet Hall of Fame" is just another
"brick in the wall", another WWW site to count the number of hits,
another possibility of another "Top 5%" site, etc. ad nauseum.

Then again, this 'sell out the common man' for heros and hyperbola
sound bite, iconographic, 'feel good today' social consciousness
has infected so much of the majority of our society, finding 
people who can truly think rationally and independently is
a rare quality. 

Anyone got the schedule on the next flight to Mars? 

I wonder if galaxies far far away getting our radio signals and
listening in are just rolling over laughing at our ignorant and
shameless planet Earth.

Lamenting Again, (sorry 'bout that) Internet Heros, Gods, Fame,
what will we think of next?  

My Link is Bigger Than Your Link.......

Sigh.

Tim


 
------------------------------

We're just two lost souls 
	swimming in a fish bowl, 
		year after year,

Running over the same old ground. 
	What have we found? 
		The same old fears.

	Wish you were here.
		-Roger Waters


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Thu Jul 25 16:10:20 1996
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To: George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au>
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction 
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Thu, 25 Jul 1996 09:51:09 +1000."
             <15643.838252269@connect.com.au> 
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 01:56:36 -0400
From: Matthew James Marnell <marnellm@portia.portia.com>
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:>Well here we are, Australia is taking a massive pounding and collecting
:>enough bronze to start a cannon foundry and I don't see any massive change
:>in my RTT/drop. Since Poland and Turkey now outrank OZ in the medal stakes,
:>maybe all the traffic is coming from Europe, but I'd have expected melt-down
:>to be visible all over (not)
:>
:>So what happened to the "Olympics gonna kill the net" claim? do we now
:>see some kind of retraction?

I don't know.  I've been trying to get through to the
www.atlanta.olympic.org that IBM has been advertising in their
Spinal Tap commercials.  While I can connect fine 50% of the
time, the sales.atlanta.olympic.org machine seems to keep falling
over (So badly, that even though the one page I was accessing
said that there were still tickets available to certain events,
but after 50 timeout, connection refused's, and incomplete pages,
or otherwise eroneous pages, when I finally got to the order page,
the tickets were already gone (when I finally called the number
(which took me 15 minutes to find with the crappy responses I
got from their servers)).  All in all, either the connection was
bad or the servers are undertuned.  Either way, the net seems to
be performing better than it was as little as 2 weeks ago.

Matt


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 00:50:17 1996
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References: Your message of "Thu, 25 Jul 1996 09:51:09 +1000."            
 <15643.838252269@connect.com.au>
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 14:38:22 +0000
To: Matthew James Marnell <marnellm@portia.portia.com>
From: Michael Shields <shields@crosslink.net>
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
Cc: George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au>, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Precedence: bulk

At 1996-07-25 05:56 +0000, Matthew James Marnell wrote:
>:>So what happened to the "Olympics gonna kill the net" claim? do we now
>:>see some kind of retraction?
>
>I don't know.  I've been trying to get through to the
>www.atlanta.olympic.org that IBM has been advertising in their
>Spinal Tap commercials.  While I can connect fine 50% of the
>time, the sales.atlanta.olympic.org machine seems to keep falling
>over (So badly, that even though the one page I was accessing
>said that there were still tickets available to certain events,
>but after 50 timeout, connection refused's, and incomplete pages,
>or otherwise eroneous pages, when I finally got to the order page,
>the tickets were already gone (when I finally called the number
>(which took me 15 minutes to find with the crappy responses I
>got from their servers)).  All in all, either the connection was
>bad or the servers are undertuned.  Either way, the net seems to
>be performing better than it was as little as 2 weeks ago.

From press coverage (today's Washington Post, for example), it looks like
this is poor tuning by IBM rather than collapse of the Internet.  They've
apparently had problems even with the kiosks in the Olympic Village, and it
would be hard to pin those on failures in any network other than maybe
Advantis.

altanta.olympic.org may be down, but it's not pulling backbones down with it.

--
Shields, CrossLink.



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 01:09:54 1996
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From: Per Gregers Bilse <bilse@EU.net>
Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 16:50:42 +0200
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Organization: EUnet Communications Services BV
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To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
Precedence: bulk

On Jul 25,  9:51, George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au> wrote:
> This prediction never made much sense to me anyway. Maybe the man was
> mis-quoted.

No, don't forget Dr. Metcalfe's definition of a collapse: "... when
more than 50,000 people are denied their Internet access for more
than an hour, let's call it an Internet collapse, ...".  By that
definition the Internet has died when 100k people get no response
from IBM's WWW servers.

-- 
------ ___                        --- Per G. Bilse, Mgr Network Operations Ctr
----- /     /  /   __   ___  _/_ ---- EUnet Communications Services B.V.
---- /---  /  /  /  /  /__/  /  ----- Singel 540, 1017 AZ Amsterdam, NL
--- /___  /__/  /  /  /__   /  ------ tel: +31 20 5305333, fax: +31 20 6224657
---                           ------- 24hr emergency number: +31 20 421 0865
--- Connecting Europe since 1982  --- http://www.EU.net  e-mail: bilse@EU.net

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 02:10:28 1996
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From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Message-Id: <199607251600.MAA26331@linux.silkroad.com>
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
To: bilse@EU.net (Per Gregers Bilse)
Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 12:00:49 -0400 (EDT)
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
In-Reply-To: <199607251450.AA14249@jotun.EU.net> from "Per Gregers Bilse" at Jul 25, 96 04:50:42 pm
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PGB replies:

> No, don't forget Dr. Metcalfe's definition of a collapse: "... when
> more than 50,000 people are denied their Internet access for more
> than an hour, let's call it an Internet collapse, ...".  By that
> definition the Internet has died when 100k people get no response
> from IBM's WWW servers.

The same standard could also be applies to voice calls and busy
signal or 'all circuits are busy' messages (which I get during
discount times to Germany daily calling my family); but this
is not the 'collapse of the PSTN' ! :-)

Let's don't worry about "what Dr. Metcalfe" says, how-bout-it?
and think what is pragmatic and useful. One of the interesting
situations of a 'technocratic paradigm' is the perception that
one who is advance in one aspect of a very broad field (such
as Ethernet and Internetworking) is an expert on all expects of
the entire field; which is humanly impossible.

This is precisely why there are "System Engineers" , "Software
Engineering", "Hardware Engineers" and subspecialists in every
one of these areas.  I find it amusing that we need Dr. Metcalfe
to formula opinions of the future of IP internetworking based on
his substantial and significant contributions to IEEE 802.

This is not to take away from the important contribution of
Dr. Metcalfe; but one grain of sand does not make a beach, nor
a grain of salt make an ocean... Certainly a noted contribution
to the engineering field with regard to networking does not
make an omnipotent oracle for internetworking.... just like
doing BGP4 on a daily basis does not make one the 'expert of
all IP routing paradigms' (contrary to popular perception).

Regards and ^Z,

Tim 


-- 
We're just two lost souls 
	swimming in a fish bowl, 
		year after year,

Running over the same old ground. 
	What have we found? 
		The same old fears.

	Wish you were here.
		-Roger Waters


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 02:49:59 1996
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 96 12:44:17 -0400
From: jnc@ginger.lcs.mit.edu (Noel Chiappa)
Message-Id: <9607251644.AA07633@ginger.lcs.mit.edu>
To: bass@linux.silkroad.com, bilse@eu.net
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU, jnc@ginger.lcs.mit.edu
Precedence: bulk

    From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>

    Let's don't worry about "what Dr. Metcalfe" says, how-bout-it?
    and think what is pragmatic and useful.

Too bad you didn't take you own advice and focus on the issue at hand, and not
attacking other peoples' technical abilities.

    I find it amusing that we need Dr. Metcalfe to formula opinions of the
    future of IP internetworking based on his substantial and significant
    contributions to IEEE 802. This is not to take away from the important
    contribution of Dr. Metcalfe ... Certainly a noted contribution to the
    engineering field with regard to networking does not make an omnipotent
    oracle for internetworking....

I'm puzzled about how to reconcile your assertions with the facts that i) Bob
Metcalfe was one of the chief designers of Xerox's PUP, which was the first
operational internetworking protocol, and thus has some useful experience in
this field, and ii) based on his work there, was involved in the early work on
what became TCP and IP (since at that point, they were not separate protocols).
Sure, I don't exactly bow down in his direction three times daily, but he's not
totally ignorant.

Now, can we stick to the issue at hand, please, and enough dumping on people
(lest the list of targets of similar behaviour get expanded, eh?)

	Noel


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 03:30:01 1996
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From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Message-Id: <199607251710.NAA26493@linux.silkroad.com>
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
To: jnc@ginger.lcs.mit.edu (Noel Chiappa)
Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 13:10:51 -0400 (EDT)
Cc: bilse@eu.net, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU, jnc@ginger.lcs.mit.edu
In-Reply-To: <9607251644.AA07633@ginger.lcs.mit.edu> from "Noel Chiappa" at Jul 25, 96 12:44:17 pm
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> 
> Now, can we stick to the issue at hand, please, and enough dumping on people
> (lest the list of targets of similar behaviour get expanded, eh?)
> 

Noel, Hi!

I simple am stating  the 'creation of icons and superheros is
completely base and a waste of time, IMO'.... others are certainly
welcome to create superheros and legends as they find appropriate,
but true heros need no such activity.

If we examine both scientific and academic history, Noel, as you
surely have; we find that most people who are well known were
self-promoting egoists ( read the critiques of Mandlebrot, Newton, 
etc. to infinity ).  I am not saying that anyone in the IP world
is that way :-) :-) :-) however....

( if you do not put words in my mouth as you often do ;-)

... I am saying is that the success of the Internet is not based
on a collection of singularities but on the double integral
of the collective will and efforts of countless thousand of people;
including the non-college graduates sitting at NOCs handling customer
calls every day, citizens funding NSF and DARPA initiatives, 
experimentalists playing with protocols and paradigms, as well a
design engineers and theorists, not to mention the end users
need for information exchange.

Anyone is welcome to find fault in this logic.  But this is not
a 'new world view' on my part, and if I remember correctly, the
original thread was something about 'an Internet Hall of Fame'.

There is an old saying:  " it is amazing the amount of progess that
can occur when no one worries about getting credit for it "

As I see it, the Internet is sinking to a new 'low' as there
is now a need to iconify individuals.... mostly with a commercial
end goal, or to give the press and media something to feed to
their consumers.

How, Noel my dear friend, I ask you:

"What is the issue at hand, in your opinion?"  

Do you want to create icons out of individuals and "Halls of Fames"
as suggested?  Would you feel good to see you name in lights as well?
If so, then my all means, don't let my worldview stop the 'wheels
of human progress' (whatever that is, today).

Best Regards,

Tim

> 	Noel


-- 
We're just two lost souls 
	swimming in a fish bowl, 
		year after year,

Running over the same old ground. 
	What have we found? 
		The same old fears.

	Wish you were here.
		-Roger Waters


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 03:49:56 1996
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 10:41:26 -0700
To: Per Gregers Bilse <bilse@EU.net>
From: Dave Crocker <dcrocker@brandenburg.com>
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Precedence: bulk

At 7:50 AM -0700 7/25/96, Per Gregers Bilse wrote:
>No, don't forget Dr. Metcalfe's definition of a collapse: "... when
>more than 50,000 people are denied their Internet access for more
>than an hour, let's call it an Internet collapse, ...".  By that
>definition the Internet has died when 100k people get no response
>from IBM's WWW servers.

	That, of course, is the problem with overly simplistic definitions.
In this case it feeds a verious serious failure to distinguish between
"failures of the net" and "failures of the information providers".

	Bob has been on a long-term campaign to raise people's awareness of
the limitations to the current system.  The issue is a valid one.  Bob's
style has been very consistent and always of the chicken-little variety.
That, I'm afraid, is highly counter-productive.

	Good message.  Bad tone.

d/

--------------------
Dave Crocker                                            +1 408 246 8253
Brandenburg Consulting                             fax: +1 408 249 6205
675 Spruce Dr.                                 dcrocker@brandenburg.com
Sunnyvale CA 94086 USA                       http://www.brandenburg.com

Internet Mail Consortium               http://www.imc.org, info@imc.org



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 07:30:08 1996
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To: Dave Crocker <dcrocker@brandenburg.com>
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction 
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Thu, 25 Jul 1996 10:41:26 MST."
             <v03007802ae1d602ad390@[205.214.160.102]> 
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  	Bob has been on a long-term campaign to raise people's awareness of
  the limitations to the current system.  The issue is a valid one.  Bob's
  style has been very consistent and always of the chicken-little variety.
  That, I'm afraid, is highly counter-productive.
  
Right. Now if he'd said "excessive use of real-time dataflows is going to
kill the internet unless we change things to match demand" I wouldn't have
been so cynical. Of course, its not quotable either.

Personally, I liked it better when it was ttys and text. I'm pretty happy
with newspapers and radio for my slice of Olympic failures of the day.

On to real topics...

-George
--
George Michaelson         |  connect.com.au pty/ltd
Email: ggm@connect.com.au |  c/o AAPT,
Phone: +61 7 3834 9976    |  level 8, the Riverside Centre,
  Fax: +61 7 3834 9908    |  123 Eagle St, Brisbane QLD 4000



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 07:50:07 1996
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             <15078.838248312@connect.com.au> 
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  If we're going to have a hall of fame, get Bob Dylan to play at the
  opening and give Robert Zimmerman a special award for inventing the 
  7 layer model. Then find the people who converted a teaching/comparison
  tool into religious mania and line them up against the wall...
  
  [this is a joke. If you don't know why, then you don't get invited.]

And as Christian Huitema kindly pointed out in Private, the man is Hubert
and not Robert so as usual, the jokes on me. Two letter slip onto a bananaskin.

Sorry...

-George

--
George Michaelson         |  connect.com.au pty/ltd
Email: ggm@connect.com.au |  c/o AAPT,
Phone: +61 7 3834 9976    |  level 8, the Riverside Centre,
  Fax: +61 7 3834 9908    |  123 Eagle St, Brisbane QLD 4000



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 09:30:23 1996
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 16:34:54 -0700
To: Per Gregers Bilse <bilse@EU.net>, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
From: "Kent W. England" <kwe@6SigmaNets.com>
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
Precedence: bulk

At 04:50 PM 7/25/96 +0200, Per Gregers Bilse wrote:
>
>No, don't forget Dr. Metcalfe's definition of a collapse: "... when
>more than 50,000 people are denied their Internet access for more
>than an hour, let's call it an Internet collapse, ...".  By that
>definition the Internet has died when 100k people get no response
>from IBM's WWW servers.
>

I liked Jack Ricard's response to Metcalfe's imminent demise prediction  in
his Boardwatch editorial in the April 96 issue.

"InfoWorld columnist Bob Metcalfe notes it [the Internet] is going to crash
and burn this year anyway, after the fashion of the Hindenberg. Having
survived the 327 deaths of FidoNet, I don't doubt it. I just don't think
anyone will be able to tell without test instruments."

I love his irony. It's a shame that Jack doesn't get the press play that Bob
Metcalfe does, because Rickard has been pretty quick to understand the
Internet. You should read his monthly editorials, especially the May 96
issue where he discusses bandwidth versus capacity.

Have a look at < http://www.boardwatch.com/mag/96/may/bwm1.htm > to read the
bandwidth editorial. You may need to register at the Boardwatch site first.

He's worth a read.

--Kent


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 10:30:38 1996
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 96 17:15 PDT
From: randy@psg.com (Randy Bush)
To: "Kent W. England" <kwe@6SigmaNets.com>
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
References: <2.2.32.19960725233454.0073d594@mail.cts.com>
Precedence: bulk

Jack Ricard's response to Metcalfe's imminent demise prediction:
> Having survived the 327 deaths of FidoNet, I don't doubt it. I just don't
> think anyone will be able to tell without test instruments."

There is an interesting analog between the folk trying to set up 'fake' root
name servers and the FidoNet schismic nodelists.  Unless the masses believe
in your namespace, it is vaccuous.

randy

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 10:41:45 1996
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 17:23:38 -0700 (PDT)
From: Michael Dillon <michael@memra.com>
To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
In-Reply-To: <v03007802ae1d602ad390@[205.214.160.102]>
Message-Id: <Pine.BSI.3.93.960725171430.1675E-100000@sidhe.memra.com>
Organization: Memra Software Inc. - Internet consulting
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On Thu, 25 Jul 1996, Dave Crocker wrote:

> At 7:50 AM -0700 7/25/96, Per Gregers Bilse wrote:
> >No, don't forget Dr. Metcalfe's definition of a collapse: "... when
> >more than 50,000 people are denied their Internet access for more
> >than an hour, let's call it an Internet collapse, ...".  By that
> >definition the Internet has died when 100k people get no response
> >from IBM's WWW servers.
> 
> 	That, of course, is the problem with overly simplistic definitions.
> In this case it feeds a verious serious failure to distinguish between
> "failures of the net" and "failures of the information providers".

> 	Good message.  Bad tone.

I certainly agree with Bob that it is a good idea to have a simple metric
for network collapses to more easily explain to the general public what is
happening and whether it is a major problem or a minor problem. However, I
disagree with his numbers and his terms.

I think that a major Internet disaster has to be defined so that it is of
a similar scale as a hurricane or the Mississippi river floods of a few
years ago. On that scale the Netcom outages were more like a regional
snowstorm that clogs the roads for a day. 

Michael Dillon                   -               ISP & Internet Consulting
Memra Software Inc.              -                  Fax: +1-604-546-3049
http://www.memra.com             -               E-mail: michael@memra.com


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 16:11:04 1996
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Date: Thu, 25 Jul 1996 23:02:39 -0700
To: Michael Dillon <michael@memra.com>
From: Dave Crocker <dcrocker@brandenburg.com>
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Precedence: bulk

At 5:23 PM -0700 7/25/96, Michael Dillon wrote:
>I certainly agree with Bob that it is a good idea to have a simple metric

>I think that a major Internet disaster has to be defined so that it is of
>a similar scale as a hurricane or the Mississippi river floods of a few
>years ago. On that scale the Netcom outages were more like a regional
>snowstorm that clogs the roads for a day.

	Simple metrics are fine.  As long as they are reasonable.

	One which does not distinguish between the situation at a shopping
mall on the last shopping day before Christmas, versus a 200-car pile-up on
the local Interstate, is completely missing the distinction between
infrastructure and end-systems.

	Most people can tell the difference between a fast busy and a slow
one and they know who to blame for each.

	We need the same distinction if we are going to do anything useful
with metrics.

d/

--------------------
Dave Crocker                                            +1 408 246 8253
Brandenburg Consulting                             fax: +1 408 249 6205
675 Spruce Dr.                                 dcrocker@brandenburg.com
Sunnyvale CA 94086 USA                       http://www.brandenburg.com

Internet Mail Consortium               http://www.imc.org, info@imc.org



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Fri Jul 26 18:30:39 1996
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To: Dave Crocker <dcrocker@brandenburg.com>
Cc: Michael Dillon <michael@memra.com>, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction 
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Thu, 25 Jul 1996 23:02:39 MST."
             <v03007802ae1e0f6754b2@[205.214.160.102]> 
Date: Fri, 26 Jul 1996 18:15:25 +1000
Message-Id: <29542.838368925@connect.com.au>
From: George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au>
Precedence: bulk


How about Brian Carpenters metrics for inter-peer negotiation? If these
criteria establish how ISPs change money, maybe they also define how we
can measure congestion in meaningful ways? Certainly with cash attached,
people are going to be collating and archiving a *LOT* of useful data...

-George
--
George Michaelson         |  connect.com.au pty/ltd
Email: ggm@connect.com.au |  c/o AAPT,
Phone: +61 7 3834 9976    |  level 8, the Riverside Centre,
  Fax: +61 7 3834 9908    |  123 Eagle St, Brisbane QLD 4000

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Sat Jul 27 00:10:27 1996
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To: randy@psg.com (Randy Bush)
Cc: "Kent W. England" <kwe@6sigmanets.com>, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction 
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Thu, 25 Jul 1996 17:15:00 PDT."
             <m0ujaYZ-0004zqC@roam.psg.com> 
Date: Fri, 26 Jul 1996 09:08:56 -0500
From: Jeremy Porter <jerry@fc.net>
Precedence: bulk


In message <m0ujaYZ-0004zqC@roam.psg.com>, Randy Bush writes:
>Jack Ricard's response to Metcalfe's imminent demise prediction:
>> Having survived the 327 deaths of FidoNet, I don't doubt it. I just don't
>> think anyone will be able to tell without test instruments."
>
>There is an interesting analog between the folk trying to set up 'fake' root
>name servers and the FidoNet schismic nodelists.  Unless the masses believe
>in your namespace, it is vaccuous.

Actually that is more of a software problem that anything else.  The
fact that the old Fido software didn't understand different authoratative
sources.  The fact that the IANA didn't release more top level domains to
other registries, is going to cause the schism(s).  Top down managment
of the root space one work, a cooperative root zone is needed, with
consensus by market share. 

Really if Metcalfe wanted to predidict a death of the Internet,
this whole top level domain issue is more of a problem.   (Routing problems
are technologically solvable, and the TLD issue is only sociologically solvable.)

But I guess this is wandering from the topic at hand somewhat, and no one
really wants to beat this dead horse again.



---
Jeremy Porter, Freeside Communications, Inc.      jerry@fc.net
PO BOX 80315 Austin, Tx 78708  |  1-800-968-8750  |  512-458-9816
http://www.fc.net

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From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Sun Jul 28 12:50:47 1996
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Date: Sun, 28 Jul 1996 12:43:23 +1000
To: George Michaelson <ggm@connect.com.au>
From: gih@aarnet.edu.au (Geoff Huston)
Subject: Re: Metcalfes "imminent death of the internet" prediction
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
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{cc's deleted]

At 6:15 PM 26/7/96, George Michaelson wrote:
>How about Brian Carpenters metrics for inter-peer negotiation? 

Brian provoked what I can best term a lively duscussion at the IEPG
meeting in June with this paper. My personal observation is that
these metrics are not will understood in terms of their use in the
context of peering, let alone George's advocacy to use these metrics
as a basis for the measurement of "congestion".

Geoff



From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Sun Jul 28 12:53:50 1996
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From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Message-Id: <199607280237.WAA30619@linux.silkroad.com>
Subject: Strange Attractors in Network Flows
To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Date: Sat, 27 Jul 1996 22:37:41 -0400 (EDT)
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Hi.

The topic is dissipative systems with a degree of 'randomness' similar
to Shaw's observation of strange attractors in the 'leaky faucet model'
in the tales from the 'crypts of chaos'.

I was thinking about the model and it appeared to me (conjecture) that
IP flows in large networks could be modelled as a similar dissapative
system with random packet interarrival times; dissapative (of course)
because packets are dropped and this is 'more than likely'  
a nonlinear dynamic process that could be modelled.  

Hence, based on this conjecture, it seems that chaos theory is quite
applicable to IP internetwork flows and therefore is useful to
developing models of large internets...... BUT...

As usual, there are few unique ideas and applications, so I believe
that *someone out there* has been working in this area and has published
some IP CHAOS THEORY papers.  I have not, however, seen any such
publications referenced.   Does anyone on big-internet (Noel?)
know of any publications in this area?  If so, could they forward
or post the papers ( I have plenty on chaos theory, just nothing
on IP-CHAOS).

If not, is anyone interested on big-internet in working on looking
for strange attractors in chaotic large IP internetwork flows?

Is there a discussion group for this?  {Big-internet might be
a good place to introduce a new topic, based on the minimal
technical traffic lately.} Or, is application of chaos theory
to large IP networks inappropriate for the big-internet list?

(private e-mail also appreciated)

Kind Regards,

Tim

-- 
We're just two lost souls 
	swimming in a fish bowl, 
		year after year,

Running over the same old ground. 
	What have we found? 
		The same old fears.

	Wish you were here.
		-Roger Waters


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Mon Jul 29 15:13:58 1996
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To: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Strange Attractors in Network Flows 
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Sat, 27 Jul 1996 22:37:41 EDT."
             <199607280237.WAA30619@linux.silkroad.com> 
From: Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu
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On Sat, 27 Jul 1996 22:37:41 EDT, you said:
> As usual, there are few unique ideas and applications, so I believe
> that *someone out there* has been working in this area and has published
> some IP CHAOS THEORY papers.  I have not, however, seen any such
> publications referenced.   Does anyone on big-internet (Noel?)
> know of any publications in this area?  If so, could they forward
> or post the papers ( I have plenty on chaos theory, just nothing
> on IP-CHAOS).

The following was seen on the IETF mailing list a few days ago.
Is the 'ethernet capture effect' what you are thinking about?

				Valdis Kletnieks
				Computer Systems Engineer
				Virginia Tech
--- attached mail follows
Message-Id: <199607170345.UAA17867@rx7.ee.lbl.gov>
To: Jon Crowcroft <J.Crowcroft@cs.ucl.ac.uk>
cc: iesg@ietf.org, ietf@CNRI.Reston.VA.US
Subject: Re: Last Call: TCP Slow Start, Congestion Avoidance, Fast Retransmit, and Fast Recovery Algorithms to BCP
In-reply-to: Your message of Tue, 16 Jul 96 06:45:42 BST.
Date: Tue, 16 Jul 96 20:45:04 PDT
Sender: ietf-request@ietf.org
From: Van Jacobson <van@ee.lbl.gov>
Source-Info:  From (or Sender) name not authenticated.

Jon,

> that there are limits to its effectiveness (e.g. current
> algorithm in presence of drop tail fifo routers has minium
> effective rate of 1 packet per RTT

You've said this on a number of occasions lately and I think you
are giving it rather too much emphasis.  The congestion control
and timer algorithms were designed together and work in concert.
The core of TCP's scalability is it's very conservative, very
adaptable retransmit timer.  Two things happen in the presense
of congestion:  queues increase rapidly which increases the RTT
seen by users of the path (the biased mean+variance estimator
tracks these changes and avoids further inflating the queue with
spurious retransmits), and bottleneck link(s) can't handle the
agregate input rate and packets get dropped (the exponential
backoff in the retransmit timer(s) causes the input rate to drop
to the point where it fits in the bottleneck bandwidth).  This
exponential rate backoff via the retransmit timer is an integral
part of the TCP adaptation algorithm (in fact, I feel it's the
primary part & the window adjustment stuff is a second order
performance tweak).  If you were to look at a TCP's behavior as
you slowly lowered the available bandwidth, you would find it
varied fairly smoothly down to arbitrarily low rates (as opposed
to your mental model which seems to have things completely fall
apart when the bandwidth-delay product falls below 1 packet) --
all that happens is that TCP modulates the window when the BDP
is larger than a packet then switches to modulating the time
between packets.  To anticipate a question, no, the packet drop
behavior doesn't change substantially between these two regimes.
If you were to plot the number of drops as a function of
available bandwidth, it would also vary fairly smoothly over the
entire range.

The problems with running in this timer controlled regime are
that it's very unfair (because of something nearly identical to
the ethernet capture effect) and bandwidth upstream of the
bottleneck(s) is wasted transporting packets that will be
dropped at the bottleneck (a very serious scaling problem in a
general mesh network but a problem that people designing
braindead "loss preference" machinery seem to ignore).  But
that doesn't mean it doesn't work -- it deals with congestion
quite as well as modulating the window and, in the absense of
something like RED in the gateways, is only slightly less fair
(window modulation is also unfair because of an autocatalysis
effect).  RED makes either the window or timer scheme fair.

I think the essense of reliable protocol design is getting the
timers right.  If you do, the protocol will probably work &
scale (though there may be lots of things you'll have to tweak
to get good performance).  If you botch the timers, the protocol
is guaranteed to fall apart at some scale (but, unfortunately,
people are very bad about anticipating the effects of scale & a
lot of these bench-top grad student projects end up escaping &
causing no end of suffering for their users before they die).  I
think experience has shown that the TCP designers did a
remarkably good job on the timers (contemporaries such as X.25 &
TP-4 completely botched them).  It's important to remember that
they're the protocol's most basic defense against congestion and
treat them with respect (and occasionally defend them against
poorly conceived, destablizing "improvements" like the
collection of mistakes in Arizona's "tcp vegas").

 - Van


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Mon Jul 29 16:53:02 1996
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From: root@avrora.msk.su (root)
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Date: Mon, 29 Jul 96 08:28:23 +0400 (MSD)
Subject: Moscow University
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Dear friends,
I have wrote you about USA university's e-mail addresses.  I have recieved
yours advice to see WWW. But I cannot do it becouse I use Relcom-net, not
Internet,  and unpossible to use WWW.
I am interested in university's theatres and culture centres, or peolpe who
organize this.
Please, if you know something, write me  on root@avrora.msk.su

    Thank you,

Natasha
Moscow University


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Mon Jul 29 17:52:48 1996
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From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Message-Id: <199607290747.DAA32085@linux.silkroad.com>
Subject: Re: Strange Attractors in Network Flows
To: Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu
Date: Mon, 29 Jul 1996 03:47:45 -0400 (EDT)
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
In-Reply-To: <199607290501.BAA21344@black-ice.cc.vt.edu> from "Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu" at Jul 29, 96 01:01:12 am
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Valdis replies:

> Is the 'ethernet capture effect' what you are thinking about?

I am certainly no expert on chaos theory; but chaotic systems
are typically non-linear dynamic systems that can exhibit a
very high degree of sensitively to small changes.  These systems
are complex, similar to IP internetworks, i.e. the weather forcasting.

The 'ethernet effect' as you mention is only one of potentially
numerous variables and 'effects' in large IP internetworks that
can influence the behavior of the system.  Traditional mathematical
techniques look at complex models such as IP internetworks and
'throw out' the nonlinear parts and overly simplify the model
so 'traditional' techniques of modelling can be performed.

However, error analysis in these systems show that small errors
in calculations (or perturbations) products very large changes
in the behavior of the system (known as the Lorenz 'Butterfly'
effect).

The 'ethernet capture effect' discussion you attached isolates
one particular effect that in weakly causal in IP internetworks
and is not central to IP-CHAOS model development and strange
attractors in dissipative systems.

IP-CHAOS theory would look at the seeming random packet arrival
and departure rates (or flows rates) and attempt to look for
a strange attractor that models the overall behavior of a
complex nonlinear system. (or something like that, since the
concept of IP-CHAOS is something that I have introduced
here on big-internet)... hoping to find that someone has
written a paper on it before so we can benefit from their
prior work in the area.

The paper or references that I am seeking would talk directly to
the ideas of chaos theory related to IP internetworking.

Thanks,

Tim





From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Mon Jul 29 18:51:23 1996
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From: Masataka Ohta <mohta@necom830.hpcl.titech.ac.jp>
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Subject: Re: Strange Attractors in Network Flows
To: bass@linux.silkroad.com (Tim Bass)
Date: Mon, 29 Jul 96 17:32:07 JST
Cc: Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu, big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
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Tim;

> I am certainly no expert on chaos theory;

Strange attractor makes deterministic system behave like stochastic
system.

You don't need chaos theory for the already-stochastic system of
the Internet.

							Masataka Ohta

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Mon Jul 29 18:53:25 1996
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To: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Strange Attractors in Network Flows 
In-Reply-To: Your message of "Mon, 29 Jul 1996 03:47:45 EDT."
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From: Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu
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On Mon, 29 Jul 1996 03:47:45 EDT, Tim Bass said:
> The 'ethernet capture effect' discussion you attached isolates
> one particular effect that in weakly causal in IP internetworks
> and is not central to IP-CHAOS model development and strange
> attractors in dissipative systems.

So what you're saying is "interesting, but not good enough?"

> IP-CHAOS theory would look at the seeming random packet arrival
> and departure rates (or flows rates) and attempt to look for

Well, a chaotic system will only look chaotic if you look at the
right phase space.  Are you sure that it's packet arrival/departure
that is interesting, or flow rates?  Personally, I think a better
(and more productive) line of attack would be looking at routing
flaps (which often exhibit "ringing" as one after another router
falls over while attempting to swallow a large routing update),
or maybe some other measure.  Another thing to look at might be
access rates to popular mirror-FTP sites (especially those that
have made attempts to setup a frobozz.org DNS that tries to round-robin
effectively).  What damping/oscillation rate do we end up seeing
due to the "this FTP server is full" scenario?

Also, are you sure that you would know chaotic behaviour if you 
saw it?  And more to the point, are you likely to *find* it before
some network admin spots it and stomps it out?  I know around here,
we have a tendency to go find and "fix" any sudden oscillation in
packet rates.  I wouldn't be surprised if most of the major long-haul
providers are similar - this may mean that your best shot at finding
chaotic behavior *is* on a small network (a la the ethernet capture).


/Valdis

From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Tue Jul 30 02:51:16 1996
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To: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
Subject: Re: Strange Attractors in Network Flows 
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             <199607290747.DAA32085@linux.silkroad.com> 
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From: Matthew James Marnell <marnellm@portia.portia.com>
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While we're on the subject of papers and Internet modeling:

Somewhere between '90 and '92 while my mother was going back
to school for her Masters in Psychyology, she was writing
a paper for an Abnormal Psychology class.  She came across
a reference to the Internet, that said that, in time of
stress, certain features of the 'Net exhibited the brainwave
patterns of a schizophrenic, or something to that effect.

At the time, I was interested, but not interested enough to
look into it further.  Now I wish I had.  If anyone knows of
a pointer to this work, I'd like it.  Mr. Bass may also be
interested in it as well.

Matt


From owner-Big-Internet@munnari.OZ.AU Tue Jul 30 09:52:14 1996
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From: Tim Bass <bass@linux.silkroad.com>
Message-Id: <199607292345.TAA32743@linux.silkroad.com>
Subject: Re: Strange Attractors in Network Flows
To: Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu
Date: Mon, 29 Jul 1996 19:45:42 -0400 (EDT)
Cc: big-internet@munnari.OZ.AU
In-Reply-To: <199607290833.EAA34486@black-ice.cc.vt.edu> from "Valdis.Kletnieks@vt.edu" at Jul 29, 96 04:33:28 am
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Continuing:

> 
> So what you're saying is "interesting, but not good enough?"
> 

Hmmmm.  I'm not sure I meant that :-)  But it did seem like
a traditional linear dynamics (simplified) approach to
a nonlinear problem... which was precisely what seems to be
'off target' with attempts to model large internetworks. Grok.

> Well, a chaotic system will only look chaotic if you look at the
> right phase space.  Are you sure that it's packet arrival/departure

Exactly, and finding the right model is, of course the key...

> that is interesting, or flow rates?  Personally, I think a better
> (and more productive) line of attack would be looking at routing
> flaps (which often exhibit "ringing" as one after another router
> falls over while attempting to swallow a large routing update),
> or maybe some other measure.  Another thing to look at might be
> access rates to popular mirror-FTP sites (especially those that
> have made attempts to setup a frobozz.org DNS that tries to round-robin
> effectively).  What damping/oscillation rate do we end up seeing
> due to the "this FTP server is full" scenario?

Agreed. What are the sets of possible phase-spaces that exist in 
IP internetworks? That seems to be the question to ponder.

I'll be thinking of a few over then next few days.  Any ideas
in this area?

Regards,

Tim



